Weekend Six Pack, Week IV – Betting Preview

The Weekend Six Pack

Each week our betting columnist Rob Hartnett will bring you six bets from the weekend football action. Rob is the public face of leading In Play betting specialists 188BET.com and appears regularly on the Bolton, Wigan, Chelsea, Aston Villa, Liverpool and Everton websites doing betting previews. You can follow his thoughts on Twitter @HartnettRob

WEEKEND FIXTURES PROMISE GOALS A-PLENTY

We hit profit last week with Fulham v Everton as a draw and Dortmund coming good at St Pauli. Milan and Villa Handicap bets proved to be on the money with our stakes returned. Our longshot bet at 15.0 about a Newcastle Draw double result could have been laid off at 1.30 before Stoke’s winner but all in all a +20% return was not bad, and it was followed up in midweek with four out of four winning Champions’ League bets. All of the twitter bets @hartnettrob in September produced a 47% profit so we are either in good form or else gravity is beckoning!

Wigan Vs Wolves +2.5 Goals @ 2.25

The prevailing mood has this as a tight low scoring encounter but look behind the headline and you will find that eight of Wolves’ last 12 away games and five of the last seven games at the DW Stadium have gone over 2.5 goals. The value bet is to take advantage of an over-emphasis on reputation over form and back this to be an entertaining game in the early Saturday kick off.

Aston Villa to lead at Half Time Vs Tottenham @ 4.50

Spurs will still be coming down from their four goal haul in the Champions’ League while Villa have had a full week to plot a fast start. Three quarters of their goals have come in the first half of matches this season and they have already led away at Wolves and Stoke, neither side known for weak defences at home.

Liverpool (-1.5) Vs Blackpool @ 2.03

Liverpool won 11 and drew two of their 13 games at home to sides below them in the Premier League last season. They won eight of those by at least two goals. Perhaps more importantly they have scored inside the first ten minutes of their last three home games. Blackpool have been stronger the longer they have stayed in games but in the four games they conceded in the first half they conceded a total of 15 goals.

Chelsea (-0.5/1) to beat Arsenal on Sunday @2.02

Arsenal lost away at each of their fellow top five finishers last season, including 2-0 at Stamford Bridge. With Chelsea’s strength likely to cause problems and Arsenal missing Cesc Fabregas again the best way to squeeze odds against value from the game is to bet in the quarter ball Asian Handicap market where you win to all of your stake with a two goal or better margin for Chelsea, and to half of your stake, with the other half returned if they win by one.

Birmingham and Everton to draw @ 3.25

Birmingham are unbeaten at home in over a year but have only won two of their last 16 League games and one of their last 12 against Everton. Both sides have been very shaky at the start of the year and will be wary of getting nothing from this.

West Brom and Bolton +2.5 Goals @ 2.04

Six of the eight Premier League meetings between these sides have ended all square and Bolton have already drawn four times in their six games this season. The two play fluent passing football and while the draw is a likely outcome, the best bet is on their being three goals or more. Bolton’s three away games have produced 11 goals while West Brom’s last three outings have generated 12.

Bets Flutters Odds, Birmingham City, Everton, Wigan Athletic, Wolverhampton Wanderers